Bayesian

Infrastructure Deterioration Prediction with a Poisson Hidden Markov Model on Time Series Data

The deterioration of a pavement surface can be described in terms of the presence and severity of distinct distresses, like potholes, cracking, and rutting. Each deterioration process is ordinarily described by a set of pavement indicators (e.g., …

A statistical deterioration forecasting method using hidden Markov model for infrastructure management

The application of Markov models as deterioration-forecasting tools has been widely documented in the practice of infrastructure management. The Markov chain models employ monitoring data from visual inspection activities over a period of time in …

A Bayesian Estimation Method to Improve Deterioration Prediction for Infrastructure System with Markov Chain Model

In many practices of bridge asset management, life cycle costs are estimated by statistical de-terioration prediction models based upon monitoring data collected through inspection activities. In many applications, it is, however, often the case …